Trump: If Kennedy Jr. takes action, he will have a "big discussion" on ending the children's vaccination program.Central Economic Work Conference: Expanding high-level opening to the outside world and stabilizing foreign trade and foreign investment. The Central Economic Work Conference was held in Beijing on December 11th and 12th. The meeting proposed to expand independent opening and unilateral opening in an orderly manner, steadily expand institutional opening, promote the free trade pilot zone to improve quality and efficiency and expand the reform mandate, and accelerate the implementation of the core policy of Hainan Free Trade Port. Actively develop service trade, green trade and digital trade. Deepen the reform of foreign investment promotion system and mechanism. We will steadily open up the service industry, expand pilot projects in the fields of telecommunications, medical care and education, and continue to build the brand of "Invest in China". Promote high-quality joint construction of the "Belt and Road", deepen and improve the overseas comprehensive service system. (Xinhua News Agency)Royal Bank of Canada: The European Central Bank may move towards negative real interest rate. Royal Bank of Canada BlueBay Asset Management said that the European Central Bank may cut the interest rate below 2% next year, which the agency estimated to be a short-term neutral interest rate. Kaspar Hense, senior portfolio manager of the institution, said in a report that the core inflation rate is expected to be around 2.5% in the first half of 2025, which means that the real interest rate will be negative. He said that under the influence of unfavorable factors such as trade, continuous competitive pressure from other countries and financial problems, this should play a moderate supporting role in the economy.
Central Economic Work Conference: Support major economic provinces to take the lead, and encourage other regions to develop their strengths according to local conditions. The Central Economic Work Conference was held in Beijing on December 11th and 12th. The meeting proposed to strengthen the implementation of regional strategies and enhance the vitality of regional development. Give play to the superposition effect of regional coordinated development strategy, regional major strategy and main functional area strategy, and actively cultivate new growth poles. Enhance the innovation ability and radiation-driven role of areas with economic development advantages. Support major economic provinces to take the lead, and encourage other regions to develop their strengths according to local conditions. Deepen industrial cooperation in the eastern, central, western and northeastern regions, and vigorously develop the marine economy and the Bay Area economy. (Xinhua News Agency)Spot gold fell 1% to $2,690.81. COMEX silver futures fell 1.5% in the day to $32.47 per ounce.The European Central Bank expects inflation to cool down faster. It is reported that the European Central Bank now expects inflation to cool down slightly faster than the forecast in September. It currently predicts that the average inflation rate in 2024 and 2025 will be 2.4% and 2.1% respectively, compared with the previous forecast of 2.5% and 2.2% respectively. In the statement, the European Central Bank also said: "The anti-inflation process is on the right track."
German 2-year bond yields rose by 1 basis point to 1.96%.Government statement: British Prime Minister Stamer will attend the informal meeting of EU leaders in Brussels on February 3rd.European members of NATO are considering increasing the proportion of military expenditure. On the 12th, several European officials reported that some European members of the North Atlantic Treaty Organization are considering increasing the proportion of national defense expenditure in their gross domestic product (GDP), from the current 2% to 3%.
Strategy guide 12-13
Strategy guide 12-13
Strategy guide 12-13